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USDA's February farm income forecast cut 2025 net farm income to about $154.6 billion, roughly $25 billion below September's estimate. It projects 2026 net farm income at $153.4 billion, with weakness outside the cattle sector.
Weak farm margins can slow input purchases and encourage producers to hold or sell grain, while cattle strength partly offsets the trend in livestock markets.
potatogrower.comDaniel Munch, economist, and Faith Parum, economist, American Farm Bureau FederationMar 1, 2026After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
