
Gold declined for a sixth straight day after Fed Chair Powell said higher energy prices would push up inflation and that policy should stay restrictive. The Fed held rates and kept one cut forecast for the year, while crude rallied on escalation in the Iran war.
Rising yields and a firmer dollar on delayed rate cuts weigh on commodity prices, while escalation-driven crude gains raise input and freight costs for feed producers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.