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Treasury yields rose after the Fed kept rates unchanged and second-quarter GDP grew faster than expected. The 10-year yield rose 4.2 basis points to 4.37%, and Powell said policymakers will watch whether tariffs drive serious inflation.
Higher yields and tariff-inflation concerns tighten financial conditions and can firm the dollar, a macro headwind for commodity prices including grains and oilseeds.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.