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The Bloomberg Agriculture Spot Index climbed for a third straight month to its highest level since November 2023. The Strait of Hormuz closure and extreme weather drove the rise, with Chicago wheat up 11% since the war began and corn at its highest in a year.
Fertilizer cost pressure combined with drought in the US Plains and weather risks in Australia and Russia supports wheat and corn prices and raises food inflation risk.
farmpolicynews.illinois.eduRyan HanrahanApr 29, 2026After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
