
The EU Joint Research Centre said crop conditions across Europe remain generally favourable, with yield forecasts broadly in line with historical trends. Rainfall deficits in central, northern and eastern Europe are raising concerns about water stress as crop demand rises.
Yields tracking trend limit upside for European feed grains and wheat, but emerging dryness in parts of central Europe could tighten supplies if it persists.
After 224 past neutral weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.