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AFBF economist Cameron Castillo said $9.6 billion of the $11 billion allocated under the Farmer Bridge Assistance Program has been paid, mostly to Iowa, Texas and Illinois. He said specialty crop payments remain pending and that rice losses remain high despite aid.
Aid payments cushion farm incomes but do not change planting or marketing volumes, so price impact is minimal.
pnwag.netGlenn VaagenMay 4, 2026After 1,623 past policy events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,905 past policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
