
Investec's chief economist says the rand lost ground as the US dollar rose on AI-stock bubble concerns and higher oil prices. Brent crude was above $114 a barrel, and gold fell to about $4,016 an ounce.
Oil shipping freight rates reached record highs, and the chance of a US-Iran peace deal was seen as remote.
Higher oil and freight costs raise import and transport costs for South African feed buyers. A stronger dollar also pressures the rand, lifting the cost of dollar-priced inputs.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.