ECB policymaker Olaf Sleijpen said falling energy prices after easing Middle East tensions would cool Eurozone inflation. EUR/USD recovered to near 1.1400 in the European session but was still about 0.2% lower than Monday's close.
Lower energy prices reduce pressure for further ECB hikes, which weighs on the euro and supports the dollar. The energy link also affects input costs for fertilizer and feed production.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.