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August live cattle futures fell $1.40 to $245.825 and feeders lost $3.45 to $369.825 on Friday, with profit-taking led by feeders. NWS cases in the US rose to 27, all in Texas and New Mexico, and a sterile fly plant opened in Chiapas, Mexico.
Expanding screwworm cases keep cattle supplies tight and support prices, while the sterile fly plant could eventually ease the threat and limit upside over time.
barchart.comJim WyckoffJun 29, 2026After 69 past neutral disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
