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Brazilian urea port prices rose about 14% in one month, from $405 to $461 per ton between June 26 and July 23, according to StoneX. Restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz are creating a perception of tighter supply.
Brazil and India are both competing for product ahead of their respective seasonal demand peaks.
Strong Brazilian and Indian import demand combined with Hormuz-related supply concerns supports higher urea costs for Brazilian farmers ahead of planting. Higher fertilizer costs can weigh on Brazilian margins and influence corn and soybean planting decisions.
tridge.comVictor LangatJul 29, 2026After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
