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AUD/USD traded near 0.7166 as markets weighed rising Fed and RBA rate-hike expectations. The CME FedWatch Tool showed a 65% probability of a September Fed hike after Warsh's speech.
The dollar index fell 0.27% to about 99.41 on Monday, and renewed US-Iran hostilities kept energy inflation risks in focus.
Fed hike odds support the dollar, which pressures dollar-priced commodities, while renewed Middle East fighting lifts energy costs that feed into fuel and fertilizer. The mix of the two drives near-term commodity pricing.
mitrade.comFxstreetAug 31, 2026After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
