
The Australian dollar climbed to 0.7208 against the US dollar, a multi-year high against several majors, after stronger July inflation repriced RBA expectations. It then slipped back to 0.7156 after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh gave a hawkish Jackson Hole speech.
The Australian dollar was the only G10 currency to gain against the US dollar that week.
A firmer Aussie and a stronger dollar on Fed tightening bets move the cost of Australian and US origin commodities in dollar terms. Traders will watch the coming US payrolls data for the next move.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.