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USDA's FAS lowered its 2026/27 India rice production forecast to 147 MMT and corn to 50 MMT because a weak southwest monsoon has disrupted kharif sowing. Record carryover stocks are expected to offset the production decline and keep domestic supplies more than sufficient.
Lower Indian rice and corn output tightens export availability at the margin, but record stocks limit the price impact, so the effect is moderate.
ebs.publicnow.comAug 28, 2026After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
