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The U.S. dollar eased, making dollar-denominated commodities more affordable for holders of other currencies. Markets saw the chance of a September Fed rate hike fall to 34%, with a 74% chance of a hike by December, ahead of Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech.
A softer dollar supports commodity demand from overseas buyers, while rising hike odds later in the year could reverse that support.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.