
ADM Investor Services reports gold futures hit a one-month high on a weaker dollar ahead of Friday's PCE inflation data, with markets pricing an 85% chance of a September quarter-point cut. Silver also rose after a three-day slide.
The note adds that Fed Governor Lisa Cook is contesting President Trump's attempt to remove her, a clash that could shift the Fed toward a dovish majority.
Fed independence concerns and expected easing point to a softer dollar, a mild support for dollar-priced commodities. The effect on feed grains is indirect and limited.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.