
Sterling rose about 0.5% against the dollar to 1.2702 after the Bank of England held rates at 0.75% and UK retail sales fell 0.5% in May, in line with expectations. The dollar weakened broadly after the Federal Reserve kept rates at 2.50% and signaled possible cuts later in the year.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts weaken the dollar, which supports commodity prices quoted in dollars. The move is driven by policy expectations rather than a change in physical supply or demand.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.