
FEFAC estimates the EU could face a soybean meal deficit of at least 5 million tons in MY 2026/27, around 20% of consumption. The shortfall would strengthen demand for rapeseed and sunflower meal, with extra sourcing costs of about 449 million euros.
Drought, Black Sea disruption and EUDR rules are cited as risks.
A soymeal shortfall pulls buyers toward rapeseed and sunflower meal, which should firm those prices and raise feed costs for EU livestock producers.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.