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UBS expects EU gas storage to reach only 74% before winter and fall to about 25% by winter-end. EU storage was 72% full on 29 September, versus 87% on the five-year average, and Asian LNG arrivals rose as Japan and Korea competition for spot cargoes increased.
A low European winter buffer and stronger Asian demand will keep European gas and ammonia-based fertilizer costs firm, which supports urea prices. Higher energy costs for European crushing and processing could add modest upward pressure on feed costs.
xxquant.comOct 1, 2026After 76 past bullish report events, Urea moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.2% to +2.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
