
Low water in the Panama Canal and attacks in the Red Sea are raising shipping costs for US grain and exporters. Rerouting is now common, and the canal's restrictions prevent the largest grain ships from transiting.
Canal traffic is edging back toward normal as the drought recedes.
Higher and more uncertain freight costs for US Gulf exports to Asia put US soybeans and grain at a competitive disadvantage versus Brazilian and Black Sea supply.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.