
Extreme Midwest drought is lowering Mississippi River water levels for the third straight year, with the lower river falling nearly seven feet since mid-July. Dry conditions have reemerged along the Ohio River basin after a brief wet spell in June and July.
Transport firms are facing higher costs as a result.
Shallower water forces barges to carry less cargo, raising freight rates and squeezing farmer returns on grain and soybeans shipped down the river. Higher freight costs weaken the price farmers receive and widen basis at interior elevators.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.