As of July 17, US Gulf to Japan grain freight reached $52.75 per metric ton, the highest since October, after a $4.00 weekly rise. Strong US corn exports and Brazilian soybean and corn flows are adding vessel demand.
USDA projects record US corn exports of 69.9 mmt for 2024/25.
Higher ocean freight raises landed costs for US grain into Asia, and robust export demand supports corn and soybean prices at origin.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.