
A Feed & Grain article dated March 14, 2025 reports USDA data showing transport costs for US grain to Veracruz, Mexico rose 6.1% in Q4 2024 on a 19.2% jump in barge rates. Land-route costs to the border fell for all grains, and Q4 corn exports to Mexico fell 8% while soybean exports rose 41%.
Higher barge rates from drought-related navigation limits raise delivered costs to Mexico, which can shift export flows from corn toward soybeans and affect Gulf basis.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 206 past bullish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.6%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.