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Grain transportation costs to Mexico rose in the first quarter of 2026 versus the prior quarter, while export volumes held steady year over year. Barge and truck rates climbed after a January winter storm created ice and low water on the Mississippi River System.
Land-route costs fell, but rising farm values pushed up overall landed costs.
Higher landed costs make U.S. grain less competitive in Mexico and raise barge freight, which tends to weigh on Gulf and interior basis values. Steady volumes limit the downside.
feedandgrain.comFeed, Grain StaffMay 22, 2026
rfdtv.comTony St. JamesMay 28, 2026After 297 past bearish logistics events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, CORN moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
