
New Orleans-area grain barge unloadings rose 16% to 873 in the week ended Oct. 17, though barged grain tonnage was 7% below last year.
Coast Guard low-water restrictions limit southbound drafts, and St. Louis barge rates ran 20% above last year. Gulf export loadings were 3% above last year but expected to be softer over the next 10 days.
Low-water draft limits and elevated freight rates raise the cost of moving grain to export positions, supporting barge rates and pressuring Gulf export competitiveness and local basis.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.