A National Pork Board official warned that state and federal veterinary staff could be stretched thin if African swine fever reached US pig herds while HPAI response is ongoing. HPAI was still detected in wild birds and backyard flocks in May, though no commercial flock case had been confirmed since April 19.
This is a preparedness warning rather than a new supply shock, so it has little immediate price effect, though an ASF outbreak in US hogs would be a major bullish event for pork and feed demand.
After 645 past disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 615 past disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.