
FACE's October 2025 animal health update reports 90 avian influenza outbreaks across Europe, with 40 in wild birds and 5 in farms, captive and backyard flocks, spanning 20 affected countries. It also lists 2025 African swine fever wild boar cases through 22 October, led by Poland with 2,892 and Germany with 1,863.
Active avian influenza and ASF in Europe's major poultry and pork producers can tighten meat supply and support prices for chicken and pork, while raising feed demand substitution questions for buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.