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A USDA attache forecast puts Indonesian palm oil output at a record 46.0 million tonnes for 2022-23, up 500,000 tonnes. Exports are forecast to reach a record 30.0 million tonnes, supported by demand from China and India.
A record Indonesian output and export forecast points to ample palm oil supply, which is bearish for palm oil prices despite the export taxes.
After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.