Indonesia's palm oil exports are projected to fall by about 2 million tonnes in 2024 as domestic biodiesel consumption rises under a higher blending mandate. Domestic consumption is forecast to reach a record 24.2 million tonnes, while production is expected to drop by 1 million tonnes.
First-half exports were already down 7.6% year on year.
Tighter export availability from the largest producer supports palm oil and soyoil prices, as more feedstock is absorbed by the domestic biodiesel programme.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.