Indonesia's Estate Crop Fund said demand for crude palm oil for biodiesel will rise nearly 70% by 2020 to 10.6 million tonnes, with 26% of palm oil going to biodiesel. The B20 blending mandate requires a 20% bio content this year, and the biodiesel-diesel price gap has narrowed.
Growing biodiesel offtake structurally tightens palm oil supply, supporting CPO and soybean oil prices, which feed into palm-based meal and oil availability for feed.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.