
Indonesia planned to raise the palm oil content of biodiesel from 35% (B35) to 40% (B40) starting January 1, 2025. The Energy Ministry estimates the mandate would require 15.62 million kiloliters of crude palm oil in 2025.
Industry group Gapki expects exports to fall by 2 million tons as domestic use rises, while Indonesian output fell to 47.8 million tons in 2024.
Diverting palm oil into biodiesel reduces exportable supply, supporting global palm oil prices and the cost of oil-based feed inputs. The policy also raises concern about cooking oil prices.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.