
A University of Indonesia study warns that raising the biodiesel blend from B40 to B50 would add about 4.49 million kiloliters of CPO demand. The simulation shows the export levy might need to rise from 10% to 15.17% to fund the subsidy, which would cut farmgate FFB prices.
A B50 mandate would sharply increase domestic CPO demand and could raise export levies, supporting palm oil prices while reducing export competitiveness and farmer incomes.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.