
Indonesia expects palm oil export levy collections to rise about 31% in 2026 versus 2025, to 41.22 trillion rupiah. Collections in the first seven months reached 27.81 trillion rupiah, 73.3% higher year on year.
The increase follows a hike in the crude palm oil export levy to 12.5% from 10% in March.
Higher levy income reflects a higher export charge on Indonesian palm oil, which weighs on Indonesian export competitiveness and can marginally support the Malaysian export position. The plantation fund's projected surplus suggests the levy is not an immediate supply shock.
After 513 past neutral policy events, Palm Oil moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.