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TA Securities said Malaysian palm oil exporters could gain share in price-sensitive markets such as India once Indonesia's higher export levy takes effect on March 1. It estimated Malaysia's lower duty gives producers about US$103 per tonne in savings.
A cost advantage for Malaysian exports shifts trade flows away from Indonesia, which can weigh on Indonesian palm oil prices while supporting Malaysian exporters.
After 513 past neutral policy events, Palm Oil moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.