The American Soybean Association welcomed the EPA's 2022 blending volumes, including the largest-ever biomass-based diesel obligation. The group also praised the agency's denial of 69 pending small refinery exemption petitions.
Volumes were slightly below the December proposal but above prior years.
Record biomass-based diesel mandates support soybean oil demand and give soybean growers a firmer outlook for crush and oil use. Confirmed SRE denials reduce the risk of blending waivers that would weaken demand.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.