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U.S. renewable diesel production has grown rapidly, driven largely by California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard, but output now exceeds federal usage mandates and demand is softening. Industry officials are looking to a new tax credit and potential Canadian demand for relief.
Renewable diesel is a major outlet for soybean oil, so slowing demand relative to capacity weakens the soybean oil and crush margin support for soybeans and meal. Expected new demand could partly offset this.
agri-pulse.comPhilip BrasherFeb 28, 2024After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
