
The House Ways & Means Committee advanced changes to the 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credit within the One Big Beautiful Bill. The revised credit limits eligible feedstocks to North American sources, excluding imports such as Chinese used cooking oil and South American tallow, and eliminates the indirect land use change penalty.
Restricting the credit to North American feedstocks favors domestic soybean oil and canola use in biofuels, supporting soybean crush demand and oil prices.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.