
USDA cut its fiscal 2023 US agricultural export forecast by $3.5 billion to $190 billion, mainly on weaker soybean sales. The China export forecast fell $2 billion to $34 billion amid stronger competition from South America.
Lower expected soybean and sorghum exports to China, plus record Brazilian crop prospects, weigh on US soybean and sorghum prices. A weak Brazilian real makes South American beans cheaper.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.