
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said China agreed to buy 12 million metric tons of US soybeans this season through January, down from 22.5 million tons the prior season. China also committed to buying 25 million tons annually for three years under a broader trade agreement following the Trump-Xi meeting.
Committed Chinese purchases restore a major export outlet for US soybeans after months of zero buying, supporting US soybean and meal prices while South American supply still dominates near-term shipments.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.