
Chinese state-owned firms bought at least 13 more US soybean cargoes, roughly 800,000 tons, on Wednesday. Total purchases for the 2026-27 season reached about 6 million tons, nearing a quarter of the pledged target under the trade truce.
Steady state buying supports US soybean prices and export flows. Progress toward the 25 million ton commitment reduces the risk of a trade-driven demand shortfall.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.