Russia destroyed 300,000 tons of grain since July in port, ship attacks, Kyiv says

After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.

• Jul 31, 2026EXCLUSIVE: Russian grain lobby says Kyiv's attacks threaten Black Sea exports, global food security | Reuters-1.0%
• Jun 1, 2023Ukraine says Russia again blocking Black Sea grain export deal | Reuters-3.6%
• Jul 3, 2025Russian missile strike on Odesa port infrastructure kills two, Kyiv says | Reuters-3.4%
• Apr 15, 2022Ukraine says grain on ships in blocked Black Sea ports may deteriorate | Reuters-0.7%
• Dec 30, 2025Russia attacks Ukraine's Black Sea ports and civilian ships, Kyiv says | MarketScreener+0.2%

After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Jun 1, 2023Ukraine says Russia again blocking Black Sea grain export deal | Reuters-2.2%
• Jul 3, 2025Russian missile strike on Odesa port infrastructure kills two, Kyiv says | Reuters-5.1%
• Apr 15, 2022Ukraine says grain on ships in blocked Black Sea ports may deteriorate | Reuters+2.1%
• Apr 26, 2023Ukrainian Navy Says Russia Refused To Allow Movement Of Four Ships In Black Sea Grain Deal-2.1%
• Jun 15, 2026Focus: Russian attacks could cut Ukraine grain exports by a third | Reuters-0.8%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.