Ceasefire Talks: What’s at Stake for Ukraine’s Agriculture Sector and Global Food Security?

After 80 past bearish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and -0.5% over 20.

• May 18, 2023Russia agrees to extend Ukraine grain deal in a boost for global food security | AP News-1.2%
• Mar 18, 2023Ukraine Black Sea grain deal extended for at least 60 days-3.3%
• Mar 26, 2025Things to know about the limited ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine brokered by the US | AP News-1.6%
• Sep 16, 2022The Black Sea Grain Initiative: What it is, and why it’s important for the world | UN News+5.9%
• May 26, 2022Turkey in talks with Russia, Ukraine over grain-export corridor-1.9%

After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.

• May 18, 2023Russia agrees to extend Ukraine grain deal in a boost for global food security | AP News+5.6%
• Mar 18, 2023Ukraine Black Sea grain deal extended for at least 60 days-0.0%
• Sep 16, 2022The Black Sea Grain Initiative: What it is, and why it’s important for the world | UN News+1.0%
• May 26, 2022Turkey in talks with Russia, Ukraine over grain-export corridor-4.6%
• Feb 27, 2022Ukraine crisis: Agri commodities prices plunge in global markets as supply fears recede - The HinduBusinessLine+10.4%