Russia Boosts Late Season Grain Export Quota as Prices Pick Up

After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Sep 2, 2026Russia Pauses Grain Export Duty as Black Sea Exports Stall (2)+0.7%
• Jul 3, 2022Arab News | Commodities Update — Gold prices fall; Indonesia to raise palm oil export quota; Russia reduces grain export taxes-5.4%
• Jun 29, 2026Russia Extends Zero Wheat Export Duties, Pressuring Black Sea and Polish Grain Prices — CMB News+0.6%
• Jul 10, 2025Russia orders measures to boost agriculture exports after wheat sales fall in July-1.8%
• Jan 7, 2020China won't hike grain import quotas for U.S. trade deal: Caixin+1.5%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.

• Sep 2, 2026Russia Pauses Grain Export Duty as Black Sea Exports Stall (2)-1.1%
• Jun 29, 2026Russia Extends Zero Wheat Export Duties, Pressuring Black Sea and Polish Grain Prices — CMB News+2.8%
• Oct 3, 2025Argentina Export Tax Shock Hits Grain Markets+0.3%
• Jan 7, 2020China won't hike grain import quotas for U.S. trade deal: Caixin+0.9%
• Jun 2, 2026Argentina to Gradually Reduce Export Taxes on Ag Products-4.9%