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Argentine farmers sold a record 13.7m tonnes of soybeans in September, spurred by a temporary 'soy dollar' exchange rate, and export registrations more than doubled the first eight months' total. Sales are expected to slow sharply as the rate ends, amid election uncertainty and La Niña threats to the 2023 harvest.
Slower farmer selling tightens near-term Argentine soymeal and soyoil availability, while La Niña risk to the next crop supports prices.
grainpricenews.comMike VerdinOct 12, 2022After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
