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A weather-changing La Niña has emerged in the Pacific, raising drought risk for crop regions in Brazil and Argentina and bringing cold to the US Midwest. Argentina's La Pampa producers are preparing for planting while the phenomenon is expected to be weak this year.
Dry conditions in Argentina could cut soybean and corn output, the world's leading soymeal and soyoil supplier and a top corn exporter, tightening export supplies and supporting prices.
batimes.com.arJames GraingerOct 9, 2025After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
