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Conab reported Brazil's soybean harvest 98% complete as of June 2, one point behind last year, with Rio Grande do Sul at 90%, six points behind 2023 due to floods. AgRural estimated Brazil's corn crop at 118.4 million tonnes, nearly 3 million higher than the previous crop, with Parana yields lowered by drought and heat.
Flood-related delays in moving soybeans from Rio Grande do Sul and a larger corn estimate shape Brazilian export logistics and feed supply, with the corn upgrade leaning bearish on corn prices.
agriculture.comLuis VieiraJun 4, 2024After 230 past neutral logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 48 past neutral logistics events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
