
Acute dryness in Mato Grosso, Brazil's top soybean state, may delay soybean planting. Dry Septembers there typically push back the harvest.
That can extend the window for U.S. soybean exports past January.
Delayed Brazilian planting and harvest can keep U.S. soybeans in export demand longer, supporting soybean and soybean meal prices.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.