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Hedgepoint explains the role of the soybean sowing window in Brazil, which is set by MAPA based on regional climate, soil moisture and crop cycle. It also presents planting data for the 2024/25 crop.
Planting timing affects yield risk for the Brazilian crop, so its progress shapes expectations for export supply and soybean prices.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.