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Brazilian meteorologists warn the 2025 second corn crop faces challenges, with water deficits and high temperatures expected in the South and Mato Grosso do Sul. Mato Grosso and Goiás may see above-average rain, which helps crops but raises fungal disease risk.
Heat and dryness during pollination in southern Brazil could trim safrinha output, supporting corn prices if the forecast verifies.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.