
Pro Farmer Crop Tour scouts reported extreme heat and drought across the western Corn Belt during the August tour. Scouts noted silage aromas in Nebraska, a sign corn had passed maturity and was beginning to rot.
The tour covered about 70% of the Corn Belt.
Heat stress during grain fill cuts kernel weight and yield potential, which tightens corn and soybean supplies and supports prices.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.