NOAA reported June 2024 contiguous U.S. average temperature of 71.8°F, 3.4°F above average and second warmest on record. Heat waves, flooding in the Midwest, and four new billion-dollar disasters were noted.
Heat and flooding stress can affect crop conditions, but the monthly climate summary itself is a background report with limited immediate price effect.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.